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Nibiru Flyby More Likely in 2012

YOWUSA.COM, January 5, 2003

Jacco van der Worp and Janice Manning

Is there really a Nibiru and if so, where is it and when will it get here?  Even though these questions continue to dominate the web, a single clarion note has yet to ring out with soul-satisfying data as to when this event will happen, even though some web sites like ZetaTalk tell us it will happen this year.  Yet, the physics of celestial mechanics seem to favor a possible flyby date of 2012, which also happens to coincide with the end of the Mayan calendar.

Evidence Continues to Mount for an XKBO

If we take a holistic view of the many perturbations that are happening to the planets and moons within our own Solar system, discarding the possibility of an incoming Planet X-Class Kuiper Belt Object (XKBO) defies reason.  Frankly, something out there is upsetting the natural order of our Solar system whether it is Planet X, Nibiru or some other unknown XKBO.

Since our September update, new potential Planet X-Class Kuiper Belt (XKBO) type events have become public.  These events include a marked increase in volcanic eruption activity on Earth as discussed by Marshall Masters in his article, Threat of Catastrophic Earth Changes Quickens

Oddly enough, while earthquake activity is on Earth is relatively quiescent for the present, volcanic eruption activity on Earth seems to parallel similar phenomena elsewhere in our Solar system.  One such piece of recently reported evidence is the enormous eruption of the volcano, Surt, on Jupiter’s moon, Io.

Massive Eruption on Io and
Double-peaked Solar Maximum

In February of 2001, the single biggest volcanic eruption on record was observed on the Jovian moon, Io.  Due to the length of time spent in analyzing the data on this eruption, the information was not released until November 2002.  

Three views of Io using adaptive optics on the Keck II telescope, juxtaposed with an image of the same hemisphere taken by the Galileo spacecraft. The Keck images were taken with three different filters and show a large eruption near the volcano Surt on Feb. 22, 2001. Credit: Franck Marchis/UC Berkeley 

UC Berkeley researchers
report exceptionally bright eruption on Io

UC Berkeley Campus News, 13 November 2002

By Robert Sanders, Media Relations

Berkeley - Routine monitoring of volcanic activity on Jupiter's moon Io, now possible through advanced adaptive optics on the Keck II telescope in Hawaii, has turned up the largest eruption to date on Io's surface or in the solar system.

The eruption took place in February 2001, though a team of University of California, Berkeley, astronomers, only recently completed image analysis.  The group was co-led by postdoctoral research associate Franck Marchis and Imke de Pater, professor of astronomy and of earth and planetary science.

"This eruption is truly massive," said Ashley Davies, PhD, a scientist at NASA's Jet Propulsion Laboratory who aided in modeling the eruption. "The observed energy indicates the presence of a vigorous, high-temperature volcanic eruption. The kind of eruption to produce this thermal signature has incandescent fire fountains of molten lava which are kilometers high, propelled at great speed out of the ground by expanding gases, accompanied by extensive lava flows on the surface."

If one looks at this eruption in the timeframe of recent solar activity and compares it to that solar activity, the two events would seem unrelated at first, but upon closer view, they are probably not unrelated at all.

NASA Science News, January 18, 2002
The Resurgent Sun

Evidence is mounting that some solar cycles are double-peaked. The ongoing solar maximum may itself be a double -- and the second peak has arrived.

January 18, 2002: Every 11 years solar activity reaches a fever pitch: Solar flares erupt near sunspots on a daily basis. Coronal mass ejections, billion-ton clouds of magnetized gas, fly away from the Sun and buffet the planets. Even the Sun's awesome magnetic field -- as large as the solar system itself -- grows unstable and flips. It's a turbulent time called Solar Max.

Sunspot counts for the current solar cycle peaked in mid-2000 and again in late 2001. Image courtesy David Hathaway, NASA/MSFC.

During solar maximum, magnetic fields above the Sun's surface become impressively tangled, particularly near sunspots. Twisted magnetic fields -- stretched like taut rubber bands -- can snap back and explode, powering solar flares and coronal mass ejections.

Sunspots are the most visible sign of those complex magnetic fields -- but not the only one. Another sign is solar radio emissions, which come from hot gas trapped in magnetic loops. "The radio Sun is even brighter now than it was in 2000," says Hathaway. By the radio standard, this second peak is larger than the first.

The current solar maximum is double-peaked; the relative quiet between its two peaks fell between March and April of 2001.  The first peak’s violent energy that accumulated may have been what triggered the eruption on Io, but only after the first Solar peak slowed. 

If that is indeed the case, we may see further volcanic activity at that distance from the Sun within the next several months, as the current Solar maximum finally seems to be moving towards its end.

Along with the double-peaked Solar Maximum, one needs to consider the radical change in global weather patterns.  Could this present double-peaked solar maximum partly responsible for the current El Niño?

El Niño, Part Deux

Like the Terminator, the El Niño phenomonen has made good on its promise — “I’ll be back.”  And it has, with a vengence.  According to current measurements, it appears this new El Niño will be strong.  Therefore, we must prepare for extreme weather around the globe, which is sure to bring great trouble and damage with it. (El Niño is a recurring phenomenon, it is there every 5-7 years, has been so for over half a century. So I doubt this paragraphs shows we have even basic knowledge of the phenomenon. I would reformulate or kick this altogether.)

U.S. Department of Commerce
National Oceanic and Atmospheric  Administration
El Niño Page, Sunday December 22, 2002

El Niño is a disruption of the ocean-atmosphere system in the Tropical Pacific having important consequences for weather and climate around the globe.

NOAA is the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, which has primary responsibilities for providingforecasts to the Nation, and a leadership role in sponsoring El Niño observations and research.

We need to keep track the current El Niño as it develops, as it disturbs most weather patterns around the globe.  Please note, CNN has devoted a section of their web page to providing information about the phenomenon.

While we know that theEl Niño is drving foul weather across our skies, what about the ground beneath us? 


Volcanic Quakes Fall
Through the Statistical Cracks

At present, the numbers for volcanic eruptions are up and major earthquakes are down. What gives? Is this disparity a fluke of nature or a matter of perception?  Good question. Let’s start on the earthquake side with the USGS.

The USGS monitors quakes worldwide.  Below an excerpt of statistics from their web site:

US Geological Survey, Nov. 20 2002
Earthquake Facts and Statistics

The USGS estimates that several million earthquakes occur in the world each year.  Many go undetected because they hit remote areas or have very small magnitudes.  The NEIC now locates about 50 earthquakes each day, or about 20,000 a year.

Number of Earthquakes Worldwide for 1990 - 2002
Located by the US Geological Survey National Earthquake Information Center 

Magnitude

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

 

 

 

 

 

 

8.0 to 9.9

2

0

4

1

0

7.0 to 7.9

14

23

16

15

13

6.0 to 6.9

113

123

153

125

120

5.0 to 5.9

979

1106

1345

1219

912

4.0 to 4.9

7303

7042

8045

8118

6842

3.0 to 3.9

5945

5521

4784

6149

5225

2.0 to 2.9

4091

4201

3758

4151

4783

1.0 to 1.9

805

715

1028

944

950

0.1 to 0.9

10

5

5

1

4

No Magnitude

2426

2096

3120

2842

2290

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total

21688

20832

22256

23565

21139

 

 

 

 

 

 

Estimated
Deaths

8928

22711

231

21357

1660

This table was last updated on November 20, 2002, so at about 88% of the year 2002.  It appears from these statistics even though they are not yet complete for the year, that 2002 will not be a particularly active year, rather a quiet one.

At first glance, this forms a bit of a contrast to the increase in volcanic activity discussed by Marshall Masters in his article Threat of Catastrophic Earth Changes Quickens. But is it really a matter of contrast versus that of context?

Consider the following: Measuring quakes close to active volcanoes is difficult at best, consequently many of those will not be registered.  Furthermore, most of the quakes that accompany a volcanic eruption regerister below 5.0 on the Richter scale.  Therefore, two 5 pointers for each volcanic eruption would constitute a minor portion of the total of roughly a thousand in USGS table above, given the current average of 50 volcanic eruptions a year.

If you expand this, an increase of twenty such volcanic eruptions would make it a 40% increase for volcanoes, but only a 4% or less increase in the 5.0-5.9 section of the quake overview.

In the final analysis, volcanic quakes (that fall below the reporting threshold) just disappear in the flood. Hence, the seeming lack of relation between quake and volcanic activity. 

Push Me Pull You

If you ever get a chance to rent the 1967 release of Doctor Dolittle staring Rex Harrison there is this marvelous creature called a Push-Me-Pull-You — an odd animal with two heads, one at each end.  Could you imagine how difficult it would be to make sense of this strange animal’s hoof prints in the sand?

Reading the “hoof prints in the sand” of an XKBO or Planet X/Nibiru, could be equally taxing.  However, we do have ways of doing it, thanks to our monitoring of magnetic storms and gravity waves.  So let’s begin tracking the beast by looking at magnetic storms.

On November 25th, 2002, the following graph appeared on the Current Solar Data website from NOAA for about an hour, a site that monitors the activity of the Earth in reaction to activity by the Sun.  It keeps track of flare activity as well as the magnetic field index of the Earth’s field.

In the graph of the Kp magnetic field index the first bar of that day went off the scale, the maximal value of the scale being 9, a severe magnetic storm.  Within hours, the red bar showing above was replaced by a green bar of height 3 on the scale.

While this was unusual, what was more unusual was that the NOAA never offered any kind of explanation for the appearance of a possible ultra-severe magnetic storm on the graph.

Was this a system glitch that was corrected and nothing more? Maybe not…

The following day, Charlie Plyler of ELFRAD, a group monitoring Extremely Low Frequency signals (<1 Hz) emitted or transmitted by or around Earth, posted the following graph. 

(Because of the brevity of the report, we quote it below in its entirety, copyright Charlie Plyler, ELFRAD)

ELFRAD.COM
Gravity Wave?
November 24, 2002
July 1, 2002

On November 24th, 2002, the ELFRAD detection system recorded another unknown anomaly.  Even though there was a higher than normal magnetic outburst from the Sun, this waveform's amplitude was extremely high.  NOAA reported the Kp index as plus 9.  For a period of 36 minutes, with the peak amplitude at 23:31:42, the Kp index literally went off the chart.  

It is possible the ELFRAD sensors have recorded another Gravity Wave.  This waveform pictured above has some unusual characteristics.  A rough sine shaped wave lasting for 36.3 minutes starting at 23:20:37 UT, with a peak at 23:31:42 UT, lasting until 23:57:08 UT.  This equates to a signal with a wavelength 405,656,460 miles long.  As of this date, the Sun is 92,560,606 miles distant.  In other words, the length of the wave is 4.38 times the distance from the earth to the Sun.

The graph above is an FFT of the data indicated in the first graph, with a period of .000459 hertz. 

The source of this signal is unknown but is perhaps 4.38 AU distant.  If gravitational waves prove to exist, then we at ELFRAD may be the first to detect and record this phenomenon. 

Charlie Plyler
ELFRAD
http://elfrad.com

This recording coincided in time with the point at which the NOAA Kp index mentioned above, flew off the chart.  And, the second graph says even more than the first. 

This was not just noise or a system error; it is a signal; it could be a shockwave of some sort.  A Fourier transform of noise does not render this.  It is a signal of some event or possibly of a man-made signal. The wavelength is interesting too. The distance of 4.38 AU immediately rang a bell.  Some further calculation places Jupiter at that distance to within 3% (~4.5 AU) accuracy at that date given the relative positions in the Solar system of Earth and Jupiter.

The restricting factor and most important drawback is that we don’t know what direction the signal has come in from.  It most likely comes from an integer number of distances of 4.38 AU (Jupiter itself can be considered a point source relative to that); it could have been from Jupiter indeed, or from much further away.

The most logical conclusion may be that Charlie Plyler is correct!  If this event was indeed a gravity wave, then what could possibly be the nature of its source? 

Could it be a sudden tugging aside of a planet from the force of a close heavy celestial body flyby?

So perhaps while Dr. Dolittle’s Push-Me-Pull-You continues to leave tracks in the sand for us read, what have we seen lately with our own eyes?


Get Your Hands Up Nibiru;
Come on Out and Show Yourself

If we take our previous example a step further, the next question is obvious: Why haven’t we all seen this object coming already? Good question, so let’s raise the ante and assume our XKBO is already lurking out there in space at the same distance from Earth as Jupiter, equal in size to Jupiter as well.

If this is Nibiru, it is supposed to be (see below), so if this is the case, anything big enough to tug at a planet at the distance of Jupiter is bound to reflect some light.  Sounds interesting, but what about the numbers?  OK, let’s start with the albedo value.

The albedo is the fraction of Sunlight that is reflected upon falling on a body.   A list of albedo values known of the planets of the Solar system follows:

Planet

Albedo

Mercury

0.106

Venus

0.65

Earth

0.367

Moon

0.12

Mars

0.150

Jupiter

0.52

Saturn

0.47

Uranus

0.51

Neptune

0.41

Pluto

0.3

You’re thinking: “Known moons and planets — yup, done that. So what does this mean to me in terms of a Nibiru, a planet the size of Jupiter?”  (Or at least you should be.)

For the purpose of this discussion, let’s assume our Nibiru has an albedo value of 0.05.  (When compared with the Moon’s albedo, this value is fairly realistic.)  Now that we’ve got size and brightness, let’s talk distance and round things out. 

Because our example Nibiru is passing through Jupiter’s orbital neighborhood, it is a tenth as bright as Jupiter, with a magnitude of -1.7. Does this mean we will need a telescope to see it? No.

Anyone could observe it while standing in his or her own backyard without needing a telescope or even a cheap pair of binoculars. This is because Nibiru in this example would have a magnitude of -1.7 and objects of this magnitude are bright enough to be seen with the naked eye.

Consequently, if the Nibiru flyby were to happen later this year as many feel, everyone would already be talking about it because we could stand our in our back yards, point up to spot in the night sky and say authoritatively, “that’s Nibiru.”

While we have not seen any hard evidence yet that compels us to believe in a 2003 flyby, the panoply of disturbing perturbations in our solar system tells that we cannot afford to stick our heads in the sand either. 

The perturbations clearly tell us that something is coming, so we at YOWUSA hope that our readers are already or will soon become a certified, codified and testified naked eye, amateur astronomers at large. (For a more detailed calculation check our message board.) 

Always Start With Sitchin

Assuming you’ve taken up our amateur astronomer challenge (as opposed to dismissively sticking your head in the sand), no doubt your neighbors will be sure to pass by while you’re stargazing in your yard and ask, “Yo Sagan, so whaddya see up there chief?” 

When that happens, tell them you’re “looking for an XKBO” and then go right into Sitchin’s work, starting with a recap of Steve Russell’s interview with Zecharia Sitchin, a leading authority on the matter of Planet X (Nibiru). 

This is because Steve’s article drives straight to the heart of one very important question -- the timeframe and periodicity of the passages of Planet X, Nibiru (or whatever its name is.)

YOWUSA.COM, June 1, 2002
Will Nibiru Return in 2003?
Featuring an Exclusive YOWUSA.COM
Interview With Zecharia Sitchin

The recent release of Zecharia Sitchin’s latest book “The Lost Book Of Enki,” caused a lot of public interest, as well as some unexpected and unwarranted misinformation concerning our destiny and the return of Nibiru. Consequently, some have predicted that Nibiru will fly through our solar system next year and with catastrophic results for our planet.

YOWUSA: According to your findings, at about 11,000 BC, 7,400 BC, and 3,800 BC because of the appearance of Nibiru or the visitation of the Anunnaki, mankind experienced significant technological and/or sociological advances. 

For example, the year 3,760 BC coincides with the beginning of the Jewish Calendar and according to you the time of the state visit to Earth by Anu (a leader of the Anunnaki or Nibiru) in Nippur, Summer’s “culture center.”  Assuming a relatively stable orbit for Nibiru, that would place a similar event in 3,440 AD.

According to NOSTRADAMUS scholar John Hogue, the quatrains of Nostradamus predict that the Earth will be destroyed by the expanding Sun in the year 3,797 AD.  Mayan calendars are interpreted to indicate an “ending” at 2012 AD, and so on.  How do such predictions jive with the data on the ancient clay tablets? 

SITCHIN: That Mankind's progression from Paleolithic (Old Stone Age) to Mesolithic (Middle Stone Age) to Neolithic (New Stone Age) and then the great Sumerian civilization, had occurred in intervals of about 3,600 years, is a fact.  That Anu visited Earth, approved the grant of civilization (=knowledge, science, technology) to Mankind, marked by the start of the calendar in Nippur in 3760 BC (which is still the Hebrew/Jewish calendar), is certain (as far as I am concerned). 

But as I have tried to explain in my recent Seminars (though not yet in a full length book), the visits to Earth and the nearing (at what is called perihelion) of Nibiru do NOT coincide.  This is a point of immense significance, which those who have only read my first book somehow ignore. 

Also, the assumption that the 3600 years, as a perfect mathematical given, is also at all times the actual orbital period, is untenable: Even the orbit of Halley's comet, about 75 years, varies from 74 to 76 or so.  All attempts to pinpoint a precise date for future arrivals of the planet and/or of the Anunnaki are thus difficult questions.  I will answer them once I am satisfied that, based on historical and astronomical data, I have come up with the right answer. 

Sitchin’s answers in this exclusive YOWUSA interview are highly significant.  He states unequivocally that mankind experiences devastating natural catastrophes roughly every 3,600 years and that an external influence could be the cause of these catastrophes.

If that is true, and one of them was around 3,760 BC, the beginning of the Jewish calendar, another would have been close to the beginning of the Christian calendar.

However, there may be a second periodicity of roughly 3600 years, as Sitchin points out.  He states the visiting of Earth and the perihelion of PX or Nibiru do not coincide by necessity or even probability. 

Rather, this perihelion may have its turn coming up in probably just a decade, which is when the long Mayan calendar will run out and start anew.  What remains, then, is to research previous occurrences.

Looking backward from the present, the most recent event would have taken place around 1600 BC.  In 1628 BC, there was the Minoan eruption at Santorini, held responsible for the end of the Minoan kingdom on Crete.  This cataclysmic eruption may have been triggered by a menacing flyby, perhaps of a planet in a long period orbit around our sun.

Now getting back to your neighbor who most likely is rolling his eyes in disbelief despite his nagging sense of curiosity.  So far, you’ve only given him the first half of a one-two punch.  Now comes the roundhouse swing from out of left field.

The interview with Sitchin is titled, “Will Nibiru return in 2003?”  To which, Sitchin replies ‘not likely,’ even though many claim that it will flyby in 2003.  YOWUSA has always maintained that the greatest concern about this 2003 claim is that if this alleged flyby turns out to be a non-event, the whole issue of Nibiru will have been done a great disservice.


Why YOWUSA Concurs with Sitchin

For the record, YOWUSA agrees fully with the position of Zecharia Sitchin, and the existence of Nibiru.  Likewise, will we refuse to yield to the reasoning, that this celestial body is capable of altering/bypassing the laws of nature.  For this reason, we are skeptical about the physics behind a 2003 flyby event; which are quite complicated at best.

To help you understand our reasoning, we first need to establish the type of orbit our XKBO/Nibiru/Planet X does follow and the stellar masses pulling at it.

To begin with, let’s apply a simple two-body approach to the problem and then we’ll examine a three-body approach as well.


Two-body Nibiru Solution

In this approach the two bodies are Nibiru and our Sun.  This assumption yields us a simple, elliptical orbit, with the perihelion being at the point of closest approach to the Sun, wherein the Sun is one of the focal points of the orbit.

As to the other focal point, it would be empty.  This is because Planet X, the second body, would come rushing in around the Sun in a few months to a year from the distance of the radius of Jupiter’s orbit, and then rush right back out.

So what would it look like?  Nibiru’s orbit around the Sun in this two-body approach to the problem would have something of a hairpin structure.  Consequently, there will a violent flyby of Nibiru through our Solar system, which in turn will disrupt the natural stasis of most of the bodies in our Solar system, and with profound consequences.

However, given that mankind has managed to survive and that Sitchin is of the firm belief that Nibiru has passed this way before, there is likely some friction between our simple two-body approach to the problem and the true path of Planet X/Nibiru.  For this reason, a much more likely scenario would be the three-body approach.


Three-body Nibiru Solution

In an attempt to explain a three-body approach, Kent Steadman’s Cyberspaceorbit web site first posted an illustration, made by one of his sleuths, of such an orbit.  After some comments on the possibility and impossibility of such a scenario, this man later presented a much more credible view on the orbit structure of such a body’s path.