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Nibiru Flyby More Likely in 2012
Jacco van der Worp and Janice
Manning Is there really a Nibiru
and if so, where is it and when will it get here? Even though these
questions continue to dominate the web, a single clarion note has yet to ring
out with soul-satisfying data as to when this event will happen, even though
some web sites like ZetaTalk tell us it will happen this year. Yet, the
physics of celestial mechanics seem to favor a possible flyby date of 2012,
which also happens to coincide with the end of the Mayan calendar. Evidence Continues to Mount for an XKBO
If we take a
holistic view of the many perturbations that are happening to the planets and
moons within our own Solar system, discarding the possibility of an incoming
Planet X-Class Kuiper Belt Object (XKBO) defies reason. Frankly,
something out there is upsetting the natural order of our Solar system
whether it is Planet X, Nibiru or some other unknown XKBO. Since our September update, new potential Planet X-Class
Kuiper Belt (XKBO) type events have become public. These events include
a marked increase in volcanic eruption activity on Earth as discussed by
Marshall Masters in his article, Threat of
Catastrophic Earth Changes Quickens. Oddly enough,
while earthquake activity is on Earth is relatively quiescent for the
present, volcanic eruption activity on Earth seems to parallel similar
phenomena elsewhere in our Solar system. One such piece of recently
reported evidence is the enormous eruption of the volcano, Surt, on Jupiter’s moon, Io. Massive Eruption on Io and
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Three views of Io
using adaptive optics on the Keck II telescope, juxtaposed with an image of
the same hemisphere taken by the Galileo spacecraft. The Keck images were
taken with three different filters and show a large eruption near the volcano
Surt on Feb. 22, 2001. Credit:
Franck Marchis/UC Berkeley
UC
Berkeley researchers
report exceptionally bright eruption on Io
UC Berkeley Campus News, 13 November 2002
By Robert Sanders, Media Relations
Berkeley - Routine monitoring of volcanic activity on
Jupiter's moon Io, now possible through advanced adaptive optics on the Keck
II telescope in Hawaii, has turned up the largest eruption to date on Io's
surface or in the solar system.
The eruption took place in February 2001, though a team of
University of California, Berkeley, astronomers, only recently completed
image analysis. The group was co-led by postdoctoral research associate
Franck Marchis and Imke de Pater, professor of astronomy and of earth and
planetary science.
"This eruption is truly massive," said Ashley
Davies, PhD, a scientist at NASA's Jet Propulsion Laboratory who aided in
modeling the eruption. "The observed energy indicates the presence of a vigorous,
high-temperature volcanic eruption. The kind of eruption to produce this
thermal signature has incandescent fire fountains of molten lava which are
kilometers high, propelled at great speed out of the ground by expanding
gases, accompanied by extensive lava flows on the surface."
If one looks at
this eruption in the timeframe of recent solar activity and compares it to
that solar activity, the two events would seem unrelated at first, but upon
closer view, they are probably not unrelated at all.
NASA Science News, January 18, 2002
The
Resurgent Sun
Evidence is mounting that some solar cycles are double-peaked.
The ongoing solar maximum may itself be a double -- and the second peak has
arrived.
January 18, 2002: Every 11 years solar activity reaches a
fever pitch: Solar flares erupt near sunspots on a daily basis. Coronal mass
ejections, billion-ton clouds of magnetized gas, fly away from the Sun and
buffet the planets. Even the Sun's awesome magnetic field -- as large as the
solar system itself -- grows unstable and flips. It's a turbulent time called
Solar Max.
Sunspot counts for the current
solar cycle peaked in mid-2000 and again in late 2001. Image courtesy David
Hathaway, NASA/MSFC.
During solar maximum, magnetic fields above the Sun's surface
become impressively tangled, particularly near sunspots. Twisted magnetic
fields -- stretched like taut rubber bands -- can snap back and explode,
powering solar flares and coronal mass ejections.
Sunspots are the most visible sign of those complex magnetic
fields -- but not the only one. Another sign is solar radio emissions, which
come from hot gas trapped in magnetic loops. "The radio Sun is even
brighter now than it was in 2000," says Hathaway. By the radio
standard, this second peak is larger than the first.
The current solar
maximum is double-peaked; the relative quiet between its two peaks fell between
March and April of 2001. The first peak’s violent energy that
accumulated may have been what triggered the eruption on Io, but only after
the first Solar peak slowed.
If that is indeed
the case, we may see further volcanic activity at that distance from the Sun
within the next several months, as the current Solar maximum finally seems to
be moving towards its end.
Along with the
double-peaked Solar Maximum, one needs to consider the radical change in
global weather patterns. Could this present double-peaked solar maximum
partly responsible for the current El Niño?
Like the
Terminator, the El Niño phenomonen has made good on its promise — “I’ll be
back.” And it has, with a vengence. According to current
measurements, it appears this new El Niño will be strong. Therefore, we
must prepare for extreme weather around the globe, which is sure to bring
great trouble and damage with it. (El Niño is a recurring phenomenon, it is
there every 5-7 years, has been so for over half a century. So I doubt this
paragraphs shows we have even basic knowledge of the phenomenon. I would
reformulate or kick this altogether.)
U.S. Department of Commerce
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration
El Niño Page, Sunday December 22, 2002
El Niño is a disruption of the ocean-atmosphere system in the
Tropical Pacific having important consequences for weather and climate around
the globe.
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NOAA is the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration,
which has primary responsibilities for providingforecasts to the Nation,
and a leadership role in sponsoring El Niño observations and research.
We need to keep track
the current El Niño as it develops, as it disturbs most weather patterns
around the globe. Please note, CNN has devoted a section of their web page to providing
information about the phenomenon.
While we know
that theEl Niño is drving foul weather across our skies, what about the
ground beneath us?
At present, the
numbers for volcanic eruptions are up and major earthquakes are down. What
gives? Is this disparity a fluke of nature or a matter of perception?
Good question. Let’s start on the earthquake side with the USGS.
The USGS monitors
quakes worldwide. Below an excerpt of statistics from their web site:
US Geological Survey, Nov. 20 2002
Earthquake
Facts and Statistics
The USGS estimates that several million earthquakes occur in
the world each year. Many go undetected because they hit remote areas
or have very small magnitudes. The NEIC now locates about 50
earthquakes each day, or about 20,000 a year.
Number of Earthquakes Worldwide for 1990 - 2002
Located by the US Geological Survey National Earthquake Information
Center
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This table was
last updated on November 20, 2002, so at about 88% of the year 2002. It
appears from these statistics even though they are not yet complete for the
year, that 2002 will not be a particularly active year, rather a quiet one.
At first glance,
this forms a bit of a contrast to the increase in volcanic activity discussed
by Marshall Masters in his article Threat of Catastrophic Earth
Changes Quickens. But is it really a matter of contrast versus that
of context?
Consider the
following: Measuring quakes close to active volcanoes is difficult at best,
consequently many of those will not be registered. Furthermore, most of
the quakes that accompany a volcanic eruption regerister below 5.0 on the
Richter scale. Therefore, two 5 pointers for each volcanic eruption
would constitute a minor portion of the total of roughly a thousand in USGS
table above, given the current average of 50 volcanic eruptions a year.
If you expand
this, an increase of twenty such volcanic eruptions would make it a 40%
increase for volcanoes, but only a 4% or less increase in the 5.0-5.9 section
of the quake overview.
In the final
analysis, volcanic quakes (that fall below the reporting threshold) just
disappear in the flood. Hence, the seeming lack of relation between quake and
volcanic activity.
If you ever get a
chance to rent the 1967 release of Doctor Dolittle staring Rex Harrison there
is this marvelous creature called a Push-Me-Pull-You — an odd animal
with two heads, one at each end. Could you imagine how difficult it
would be to make sense of this strange animal’s hoof prints in the sand?
Reading the “hoof
prints in the sand” of an XKBO or Planet X/Nibiru, could be equally
taxing. However, we do have ways of doing it, thanks to our monitoring
of magnetic storms and gravity waves. So let’s begin tracking the beast
by looking at magnetic storms.
On November 25th,
2002, the following graph appeared on the Current
Solar Data website from NOAA for about an hour, a site that monitors the activity
of the Earth in reaction to activity by the Sun. It keeps track of
flare activity as well as the magnetic field index of the Earth’s field.
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In the graph of
the Kp magnetic field index the first bar of that day went off the scale, the
maximal value of the scale being 9, a severe magnetic storm. Within
hours, the red bar showing above was replaced by a green bar of height 3 on
the scale.
While this was
unusual, what was more unusual was that the NOAA never offered any kind of
explanation for the appearance of a possible ultra-severe magnetic storm on
the graph.
Was this a system
glitch that was corrected and nothing more? Maybe not…
The following
day, Charlie Plyler of ELFRAD, a group
monitoring Extremely Low Frequency signals (<1 Hz) emitted or transmitted
by or around Earth, posted the following graph.
(Because of the
brevity of the report, we quote it below in its entirety, copyright Charlie
Plyler, ELFRAD)
ELFRAD.COM
Gravity Wave?
November 24, 2002
July 1, 2002
On November 24th, 2002, the ELFRAD detection system
recorded another unknown anomaly. Even though there was a higher than
normal magnetic outburst from the Sun, this waveform's amplitude was
extremely high. NOAA reported the Kp index as plus 9.
For a period of 36 minutes, with the peak amplitude at 23:31:42, the Kp
index literally went off the chart.
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It is possible the ELFRAD sensors have recorded another
Gravity Wave. This waveform pictured above has some unusual
characteristics. A rough sine shaped wave lasting for 36.3 minutes
starting at 23:20:37 UT, with a peak at 23:31:42 UT, lasting until 23:57:08
UT. This equates to a signal with a wavelength 405,656,460 miles
long. As of this date, the Sun is 92,560,606 miles distant. In
other words, the length of the wave is 4.38 times the distance from the earth
to the Sun.
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The graph above is an FFT of the data indicated in the first
graph, with a period of .000459 hertz.
The source of this signal is unknown but is perhaps 4.38 AU
distant. If gravitational waves prove to exist, then we at ELFRAD may
be the first to detect and record this phenomenon.
Charlie Plyler
ELFRAD
http://elfrad.com
This recording coincided
in time with the point at which the NOAA Kp index mentioned above, flew off
the chart. And, the second graph says even more than the first.
This was not just
noise or a system error; it is a signal; it could be a shockwave of some
sort. A Fourier transform of noise does not render this. It is a
signal of some event or possibly of a man-made signal. The wavelength is
interesting too. The distance of 4.38 AU immediately rang a bell.
Some further calculation places Jupiter at that distance to within 3% (~4.5
AU) accuracy at that date given the relative positions in the Solar system of
Earth and Jupiter.
The restricting
factor and most important drawback is that we don’t know what direction the
signal has come in from. It most likely comes from an integer number of
distances of 4.38 AU (Jupiter itself can be considered a point source
relative to that); it could have been from Jupiter indeed, or from much
further away.
The most logical
conclusion may be that Charlie Plyler is correct! If this event was
indeed a gravity wave, then what could possibly be the nature of its
source?
Could it be a
sudden tugging aside of a planet from the force of a close heavy celestial
body flyby?
So perhaps while
Dr. Dolittle’s Push-Me-Pull-You continues to leave tracks in the sand for us
read, what have we seen lately with our own eyes?
If we take our
previous example a step further, the next question is obvious: Why haven’t we
all seen this object coming already? Good question, so let’s raise the
ante and assume our XKBO is already lurking out there in space at the same
distance from Earth as Jupiter, equal in size to Jupiter as well.
If this is
Nibiru, it is supposed to be (see below), so if this is the case, anything
big enough to tug at a planet at the distance of Jupiter is bound to reflect
some light. Sounds interesting, but what about the numbers? OK,
let’s start with the albedo value.
The albedo is the
fraction of Sunlight that is reflected upon falling on a body. A
list of albedo values known of the planets of the Solar system follows:
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You’re thinking:
“Known moons and planets — yup, done that. So what does this mean to me
in terms of a Nibiru, a planet the size of Jupiter?” (Or at least you
should be.)
For the purpose
of this discussion, let’s assume our Nibiru has an albedo value of
0.05. (When compared with the Moon’s albedo, this value is fairly
realistic.) Now that we’ve got size and brightness, let’s talk distance
and round things out.
Because our
example Nibiru is passing through Jupiter’s orbital neighborhood, it is a
tenth as bright as Jupiter, with a magnitude of -1.7. Does this mean we
will need a telescope to see it? No.
Anyone could
observe it while standing in his or her own backyard without needing a telescope
or even a cheap pair of binoculars. This is because Nibiru in this example
would have a magnitude of -1.7 and objects of this magnitude are bright
enough to be seen with the naked eye.
Consequently, if
the Nibiru flyby were to happen later this year as many feel, everyone would
already be talking about it because we could stand our in our back yards,
point up to spot in the night sky and say authoritatively, “that’s Nibiru.”
While we have not
seen any hard evidence yet that compels us to believe in a 2003 flyby, the
panoply of disturbing perturbations in our solar system tells that we cannot
afford to stick our heads in the sand either.
The perturbations
clearly tell us that something is coming, so we at YOWUSA hope that our readers
are already or will soon become a certified, codified and testified naked
eye, amateur astronomers at large. (For a more detailed calculation check our
message board.)
Assuming you’ve
taken up our amateur astronomer challenge (as opposed to dismissively
sticking your head in the sand), no doubt your neighbors will be sure to pass
by while you’re stargazing in your yard and ask, “Yo Sagan, so whaddya see up
there chief?”
When that happens,
tell them you’re “looking for an XKBO” and then go right into Sitchin’s work,
starting with a recap of Steve Russell’s interview with Zecharia Sitchin, a
leading authority on the matter of Planet X (Nibiru).
This is because
Steve’s article drives straight to the heart of one very important question
-- the timeframe and periodicity of the passages of Planet X, Nibiru (or
whatever its name is.)
YOWUSA.COM, June 1, 2002
Will Nibiru Return in 2003?
Featuring an Exclusive YOWUSA.COM
Interview With Zecharia Sitchin
YOWUSA: According to your findings, at about 11,000 BC,
7,400 BC, and 3,800 BC because of the appearance of Nibiru or the visitation
of the Anunnaki, mankind experienced significant technological and/or
sociological advances.
For example, the year 3,760 BC coincides with the beginning of
the Jewish Calendar and according to you the time of the state visit to Earth
by Anu (a leader of the Anunnaki or Nibiru) in Nippur, Summer’s “culture
center.” Assuming a relatively stable orbit for Nibiru, that would
place a similar event in 3,440 AD.
According to NOSTRADAMUS scholar John Hogue, the quatrains of
Nostradamus predict that the Earth will be destroyed by the expanding Sun in
the year 3,797 AD. Mayan calendars are interpreted to indicate an
“ending” at 2012 AD, and so on. How do such predictions jive with the
data on the ancient clay tablets?
SITCHIN: That Mankind's progression from Paleolithic (Old
Stone Age) to Mesolithic (Middle Stone Age) to Neolithic (New Stone Age) and
then the great Sumerian civilization, had occurred in intervals of about
3,600 years, is a fact. That Anu visited Earth, approved the grant of
civilization (=knowledge, science, technology) to Mankind, marked by the
start of the calendar in Nippur in 3760 BC (which is still the Hebrew/Jewish
calendar), is certain (as far as I am concerned).
But as I have tried to explain in my recent Seminars (though
not yet in a full length book), the visits to Earth and the nearing (at what
is called perihelion) of Nibiru do NOT coincide. This is a point of
immense significance, which those who have only read my first book somehow
ignore.
Also, the assumption that the 3600 years, as a perfect
mathematical given, is also at all times the actual orbital period, is
untenable: Even the orbit of Halley's comet, about 75 years, varies from 74
to 76 or so. All attempts to pinpoint a precise date for future
arrivals of the planet and/or of the Anunnaki are thus difficult
questions. I will answer them once I am satisfied that, based on
historical and astronomical data, I have come up with the right answer.
Sitchin’s answers
in this exclusive YOWUSA interview are highly significant. He states
unequivocally that mankind experiences devastating natural catastrophes
roughly every 3,600 years and that an external influence could be the cause
of these catastrophes.
If that is true,
and one of them was around 3,760 BC, the beginning of the Jewish calendar,
another would have been close to the beginning of the Christian calendar.
However, there
may be a second periodicity of roughly 3600 years, as Sitchin points
out. He states the visiting of Earth and the perihelion of PX or Nibiru
do not coincide by necessity or even probability.
Rather, this
perihelion may have its turn coming up in probably just a decade, which is
when the long Mayan calendar will run out and start anew. What remains,
then, is to research previous occurrences.
Looking backward
from the present, the most recent event would have taken place around 1600
BC. In 1628 BC, there was the Minoan eruption at Santorini, held
responsible for the end of the Minoan kingdom on Crete. This
cataclysmic eruption may have been triggered by a menacing flyby, perhaps of
a planet in a long period orbit around our sun.
Now getting back
to your neighbor who most likely is rolling his eyes in disbelief despite his
nagging sense of curiosity. So far, you’ve only given him the first
half of a one-two punch. Now comes the roundhouse swing from out of
left field.
The interview
with Sitchin is titled, “Will Nibiru return in 2003?” To which, Sitchin
replies ‘not likely,’ even though many claim that it will flyby in
2003. YOWUSA has always maintained that the greatest concern about this
2003 claim is that if this alleged flyby turns out to be a non-event, the
whole issue of Nibiru will have been done a great disservice.
For the record,
YOWUSA agrees fully with the position of Zecharia Sitchin, and the existence
of Nibiru. Likewise, will we refuse to yield to the reasoning, that
this celestial body is capable of altering/bypassing the laws of
nature. For this reason, we are skeptical about the physics behind a
2003 flyby event; which are quite complicated at best.
To help you
understand our reasoning, we first need to establish the type of orbit our
XKBO/Nibiru/Planet X does follow and the stellar masses pulling at it.
To begin with,
let’s apply a simple two-body approach to the problem and then we’ll examine
a three-body approach as well.
In this approach
the two bodies are Nibiru and our Sun. This assumption yields us a
simple, elliptical orbit, with the perihelion being at the point of closest
approach to the Sun, wherein the Sun is one of the focal points of the orbit.
As to the other
focal point, it would be empty. This is because Planet X, the second
body, would come rushing in around the Sun in a few months to a year from the
distance of the radius of Jupiter’s orbit, and then rush right back out.
So what would it
look like? Nibiru’s orbit around the Sun in this two-body approach to
the problem would have something of a hairpin structure. Consequently,
there will a violent flyby of Nibiru through our Solar system, which in turn
will disrupt the natural stasis of most of the bodies in our Solar system,
and with profound consequences.
However, given
that mankind has managed to survive and that Sitchin is of the firm belief
that Nibiru has passed this way before, there is likely some friction between
our simple two-body approach to the problem and the true path of Planet
X/Nibiru. For this reason, a much more likely scenario would be the
three-body approach.
In an attempt to
explain a three-body approach, Kent Steadman’s Cyberspaceorbit web site first
posted an illustration, made by one of his sleuths, of such an orbit.
After some comments on the possibility and impossibility of such a scenario,
this man later presented a much more credible view on
the orbit structure of such a body’s path.